How to solve Vikings’ QB conundrum, and more offseason moves for NFC North

Updated: February 13, 2018

7:38 AM ET

Over the next two weeks, I’m going to preview the beginning of each team’s offseason by identifying the first five things it should do during this downtime. I’ll hit the NFC this week and the AFC next week. Here’s the schedule for the week ahead:

NFC East

  • Tuesday, Feb. 13: NFC North

  • Wednesday, Feb. 14: NFC South

  • Thursday, Feb. 15: NFC West

  • Quick links: Bears | Lions | Packers | Vikings
    NFC East: Cowboys | Giants | Eagles | Washington

    NFC North

    Time to look at the NFC North (in alphabetical order), where we have two new head coaches, a new general manager, and a division champ with its entire quarterback depth chart about to hit free agency. The Vikings will likely bring back at least one of their free agents to come, unless they win the offseason’s biggest lottery:

    Chicago Bears

    1. Cut Mike Glennon and a few others. Well, that didn’t work. The Bears will save $13.5 million by releasing Glennon, and they could free up an additional $13.5 million by moving on from cornerback Marcus Cooper, linebacker Jerrell Freeman and wideout Markus Wheaton, which would get them to about $66 million in cap space.

    2. Re-sign Kyle Fuller. After struggling so much, the Bears declined his fifth-year option heading into 2017 and signed a pair of veteran cornerbacks in Cooper and Prince Amukamara to replace him, Fuller suddenly broke out and lived up to his status as a former first-round pick last season. Fuller and Amukamara were a competent cornerback duo, but both are unrestricted free agents; nickel corner Bryce Callahan is a restricted free agent.

    The Bears could choose to bring back Amukamara, 28, who seemed destined to bounce around the league as a useful cornerback on a series of one-year deals, but it makes more sense that they would commit to Fuller. I’ve seen speculation that Fuller might end up joining his brother in Kansas City, but the Chiefs don’t really have the cap room to really make a significant offer to Fuller. The Bears can afford to sign Fuller, so while they weren’t expecting this breakout 12 months ago, they might as well take advantage of it and bring Fuller back.

    3. Decline the fifth-year option on Kevin White, but re-sign Cameron Meredith. White is officially a total mystery at this point of his career — the West Virginia product has played just five games through three pro seasons because of injuries. To put this in context, the last top-10 draft pick to play no more than five games over the first three professional seasons of his career was Packers quarterback Rich Campbell, who was taken with the eighth overall pick in the 1981 draft and threw four interceptions in his first and only start as a rookie. He didn’t see the field for three more years and finished with nine career picks on 68 pass attempts.

    The Bears will decline White’s fifth-year option and hope to get something out of him in his final year under contract. They’ll also bring back Meredith, a restricted free agent who missed the entire 2017 season with a torn ACL. With everyone else on their wideout depth chart a free agent (assuming they cut Wheaton), the Bears probably will have to make an addition at wide receiver …

    4. Sign Jarvis Landry. We often think of tight ends as safety valves for young quarterbacks, and indeed, the Bears are going to hope that Adam Shaheen develops into a useful weapon for Mitchell Trubisky. Another way is to give him a slot receiver capable of creating easy completions and making guys miss after the catch. Landry is more than a slot target given his ability to make plays in the red zone, so while his touchdown rate from 2017 (nine on 112 catches) is out of line with the rest of his career (13 on 288 catches), the Bears have both the need at receiver and the cap space to justify an outlay of more than $10 million per season on Landry.

    Elsewhere, the Bears could look toward Allen Robinson (Jacksonville) or Sammy Watkins (Rams) if either slips past the franchise tag. The unexciting option would be for new head coach Matt Nagy to look back to Kansas City and sign Albert Wilson, who had a big Week 17 with Patrick Mahomes but hasn’t exactly struck fear into the hearts of Chiefs opponents as a starting wideout.

    5. Add Muhammad Wilkerson. Although not technically a free agent, Wilkerson is expected to hit the market this offseason when the Jets cut their former first-round pick to shed his $20 million cap hit, which would be the largest for any defensive end in football. Wilkerson has been wildly disappointing over the past two seasons since signing the deal, and nobody’s going to pay him that much.

    On a lesser deal, though? There are plenty of teams that could use a defensive lineman with Wilkerson’s track record of getting after the quarterback from the interior, and the Bears’ front seven would look terrifying with a rejuvenated Wilkerson in the fold. They already have a pair of standouts up front in Akiem Hicks and Eddie Goldman, with Wilkerson slotting in ahead of 2016 third-rounder Jonathan Bullard and taking Mitch Unrein‘s spot in the rotation. If the Bears can get Wilkerson on a one-year, prove-it deal, he could represent a massive upgrade without much risk.

    Detroit Lions

    1. Sign Ezekiel Ansah to a long-term deal. There’s no obviously correct thing to do here. Even if you think Anthony Zettel is a viable pass-rusher after his 6.5-sack, 16-knockdown season, he’s still only part of the Lions’ pass-rush puzzle. (Zettel also had eight of those 16 knockdowns in two games against the Vikings, which probably doesn’t mean anything but does seem interesting.)

    Ansah racked up 12 sacks with 17 knockdowns in his contract year, a ratio that suggests his sack total is likely to decline in 2018. (In 2016, Ansah’s 15 knockdowns produced two sacks, which suggested the opposite.) The former No. 5 overall pick had three games with three sacks, two of which came against the Bengals and Giants, who were the league poster boys for offenses rendered impotent by useless offensive lines. Two of those games came during the final two weeks of the season. Ansah missed two games with injuries and wasn’t 100 percent for long stretches of the year. He’ll turn 29 before the season starts, leaving Ansah two years older than most of the players from his draft class. (He was 25 when he was drafted.)

    At the same time, though, what else can the Lions do? This isn’t a market full of pass-rushers. DeMarcus Lawrence is likely to be franchised. Julius Peppers is 38. Adrian Clayborn had one unreal game to pad his sack totals, and that game isn’t likely to recur. Alex Okafor is coming off of a torn Achilles. Detroit could theoretically sign Sheldon Richardson as a replacement for Haloti Ngata and try to build its pass rush from the inside out, but Ansah is a better pure rusher. Even if the Lions draft a pass-rusher in the first round — and Mel Kiper’s most recent mock has them taking Ohio State end Sam Hubbard 20th — they might very well want to rotate Ansah, Vettel and their new selection along the edge.

    Detroit could franchise Ansah at a rate of $17.4 million, but that would basically lock up Ansah for one year before he would hit a relatively untenable tag of $20.9 million next year. The deals handed out to Jason Pierre-Paul and Melvin Ingram last year netted the franchise-tag recipients right around $50 million over the first three years of their respective deals, with $29 million (Pierre-Paul) and $34 million (Ingram) guaranteed at signing. The Lions can probably guarantee Ansah $35 million, which is less than the cost of those two franchise tags, and retain Ansah on a five-year extension. It might take a franchise tag to cut Ansah’s leverage, but the most logical scenario for everyone involved is for Ansah to return.

    2. Re-sign Tahir Whitehead. The Patriots have long placed value on versatility under Bill Belichick, so it stands to reason that Matt Patricia will look for the same qualities in his players. Detroit has one rangy (if inexperienced) linebacker in 2017 first-rounder Jarrad Davis, but Whitehead’s ability to play any linebacker spot should appeal to his new head coach. Whitehead is not a pass-rusher, so he won’t attract a huge deal in free agency, but the Lions value his ability against the run and he should be back. Former Patriots safety Tavon Wilson is also likely to return in a reserve role.

    3. Sign Tom Johnson. With Ngata hitting free agency, the Lions probably want to add a defensive tackle to play alongside nose tackle and pass-batting machine A’Shawn Robinson. Johnson slowed down a bit when moving into a starting role for the Vikings this year, but the 33-year-old has been the most underrated interior disruptor in football over the past few seasons, generating 65 quarterback knockdowns since signing with the Vikings in 2014. Even if Johnson isn’t a long-term answer, a two-year deal in the $10 million range as the pass-rushing half of a defensive tackle rotation might be a useful investment for Detroit.

    4. Move on from Eric Ebron. Lions fans have had a love-hate relationship with Ebron — well, mostly hate. Ebron was an overdraft in 2014, when the Lions took him just ahead of Taylor Lewan, Aaron Donald and Odell Beckham Jr. with the 10th pick of the first round. He has posted the league’s highest drop rate (7.3 percent) among players with 200 targets or more since. By midseason, Ebron had taken a backseat to Darren Fells as the team’s receiving tight end.

    And then, out of nowhere, Ebron had arguably the best half-season of his career. From Week 10 on, Ebron ranked third among tight ends in receptions (35) and fourth in receiving yards (379). He dropped just two passes on 49 targets. It looked like the North Carolina product was putting things together.

    So, should the Lions keep Ebron around? I don’t think so. Ebron is currently signed for 2018 under his fifth-year option for $8.3 million, which would make him the seventh-most expensive tight end in football. He’s not a short-term bargain. We’ve seen little to think that Ebron is worth a long-term investment. Even that half-season would be good for only a 70-758-6 line over a full season. Detroit should think twice about bringing him back at that cap figure.

    The Lions could give Ebron one more chance to develop into the all-around weapon they thought they were signing up for in 2014. It’s also easy to imagine them putting that money to better use. They could look at a running back like Carlos Hyde as a replacement for another oft-tantalizing, rarely delivering player in Ameer Abdullah. Bob Quinn could invest in a better tight end, like Trey Burton or Jimmy Graham. Ebron could make the organization look foolish if he succeeds elsewhere, but at this point, bringing him back based on a decent second half might make the Lions look foolish themselves.

    5. Sign Rex Burkhead. The Ameer Abdullah experiment just hasn’t taken. Lions fans might still have fond memories of Abdullah’s preseason exploits as a rookie, but the Nebraska product has only been healthy enough to carry the ball 326 times over three seasons, and he has averaged 3.8 yards per carry on those runs. Among backs with 300 carries or more over the past three years, Abdullah’s 17.5 percent first-down rate (percentage of carries resulting in a first down) ranks 34th among 37 backs.

    With the Lions hiring Patricia and assuming their new role as New England Midwest, there are a bevy of ex-Patriots running backs due to hit the market this offseason. I’m guessing Dion Lewis will return to New England. Given Theo Riddick‘s skill set, we can rule out Shane Vereen. Stevan Ridley is roster fodder. LeGarrette Blount played a meaningful role for most of the year in Philadelphia, but he probably would be strictly a short-yardage back here.

    One back who does fit, though, is Rex Burkhead. The former Bengals backup didn’t carve out a consistent role thanks to injuries, but the Patriots were able to both use Burkhead as a traditional running back and split him out against overmatched linebackers in coverage. The Lions already do that with Riddick. Burkhead would give Stafford another intermediate target and a back capable of running over defenders.

    Green Bay Packers

    1. Extend Aaron Rodgers‘ contract. Kirk Cousins‘ free-agent contract is going to reset the quarterback market, possibly in a drastic way. The Packers, who are going to re-sign Rodgers either this offseason or next, would be smart to get an extension done with their future Hall of Fame quarterback before Cousins signs his deal. Stafford pushed the three-year money bar from Andrew Luck‘s $75 million to $87 million, and then Jimmy Garoppolo bumped it up to $90 million last week. Cousins probably will hit $100 million. Rodgers will (and should) ask for more.

    At the moment, Rodgers, 34, has two years and $41.7 million remaining on his deal. Rodgers’ $20.6 million cap hit will rank somewhere between 12th and 14th once we get the details on the new deals for Garoppolo and Alex Smith, which seems shocking. This is probably the last big deal Rodgers will sign, and while there’s no way he’s leaving Green Bay, the Packers are going to pony up for the best quarterback in franchise history.

    Rodgers could be looking at a five-year, $140 million extension, one that would temporarily take the (somewhat specious) title of highest-paid player in football away from Garoppolo. New general manager Brian Gutekunst doesn’t need to structure the deal in a way to reduce Rodgers’ cap hit, but with a larger signing bonus — Rodgers got a $33.3 million signing bonus up front and a total of $59.1 million over the first two years of his current deal — the Packers could even free up more cap room in the process.

    2. Extend Jordy Nelson. Both sides should want the Nelson-Packers relationship to continue onward for a few more seasons. Nelson slipped badly last year without Rodgers in the lineup, which might dissuade the 32-year-old from looking elsewhere in free agency next season and encourage him to take yet another discounted offer. The Packers probably want to reduce Nelson’s $12.5 million cap hit in the final year of his current extension, and giving the Kansas State grad a two-year extension would accomplish that while keeping Rodgers’ favorite target around.

    3. Ask Randall Cobb to take a pay cut and release him if he declines. If that happens, though, the Packers are probably going to be down a slot receiver. Cobb is entering the final year of his own extension, and while he’s nearly five years younger than Nelson, the 27-year-old has failed to deliver on the 1,287-yard season he posted in advance of free agency in 2014. His yards per reception and receiving yards per game have dropped in each of the past three seasons.

    The problem for Cobb is that he would be entering a market that may not be very excited to see him. The slot receiver market is flooded this year, given that we’re likely to see Jarvis Landry, Tavon Austin, Danny Amendola, Jordan Matthews and Kendall Wright out there. Someone is going to want Cobb, but it might not be for more than a one-year deal. Given that possibility, Cobb might be better off taking a pay cut and playing his final year in Green Bay with Rodgers.

    4. Add a tight end in free agency. Again. While just about everyone was in favor of the Packers signing Martellus Bennett last offseason, the well-traveled tight end lasted half a season in Green Bay before leaving under a cloud of injury-related controversy. Green Bay’s leading receiver at tight end was Lance Kendricks, who had the second-highest drop rate in the league among tight ends with 30 targets or more. The position is still a hole for the Packers.

    Let’s try to address that this offseason. There are a bevy of useful tight ends in the marketplace. Selfishly, I’d like to see the Packers sign Tyler Eifert just to see if we can get 14 healthy games of Rodgers throwing to Eifert in the red zone. Jimmy Graham is available. Someone is going to give Trey Burton No. 1 tight end money after his success as the secondary tight end behind Zach Ertz in Philly. And hey, if Rodgers gets hurt again, we know Burton can pass …

    5. Upgrade at backup quarterback. In all seriousness, though, the Brett Hundley experience was not fun. McCarthy wasn’t willing to overwrite his offense and play to Hundley’s strengths, which led to weeks of checkdowns and punts. Rodgers probably isn’t going to miss nine games again, but he’s getting older and has missed at least one game in four of his 10 seasons as a starter.

    The Packers aren’t going to find anyone on earth who can do what Rodgers does, but someone they trust to throw the football would be nice. Mike Glennon didn’t work as a starter in Chicago, but he’s qualified to serve as a backup and had at least some modest success during stretches in both Chicago and Tampa Bay. I’m reaching, but Glennon getting $18.5 million in guarantees is a different proposition from Glennon getting $4 million as a backup.

    Minnesota Vikings

    1. Extend Case Keenum … carefully. With the Vikings losing offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur to the Giants, new offensive coordinator John DeFilippo will inherit a quarterback coming off the season of his life. One thing is for sure: We know Keenum is going to get a raise on the $2 million salary he made in 2017. The Vikings could let Keenum move on, possibly also to New York, but giving Keenum away after a season where he might have been one of the best quarterbacks in football for a possible comp pick just seems shortsighted.

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  • So, should the Vikings franchise him or lock him up to a long-term contract? Franchising Keenum allows the Vikings to get away if Keenum’s 2017 was a mirage, but it also possibly locks the Vikings into the Cousins Cycle, where their quarterback (rightfully) feels disrespected and it ends up torpedoing the franchise. The Vikings also have plenty of cap space now, as they’ll enter the offseason with $60 million in room after releasing Sharrif Floyd, but that room will disappear shortly once they start to re-sign the likes of Stefon Diggs and Danielle Hunter.

    What I’d do is give Keenum a long-term contract similar to the initial Tyrod Taylor extension in Buffalo under Doug Whaley. That deal was essentially a one-year pact with the ability to trigger a multiyear extension after the initial campaign. That structure would allow the Vikes to hand Keenum a raise and set up a possible long-term commitment without locking them in if Keenum declines.

    2. … unless they hear they can get Kirk Cousins. If Cousins wants to win right away, there’s no better landing spot for him on the free market than Minnesota. The Vikings have a perennially great defense and a running game that should be better next year with the return of a healthy Dalvin Cook. They’re deep with weapons, and with Adam Thielen signed to a steal of a four-year deal, the biggest weapon isn’t going anywhere.

    As much as it would hurt to move on from Keenum, and as much as you’ll hear about how Mike Zimmer wants to build around his defense, you don’t pass up on Cousins. The former Washington quarterback would have to leave some money on the table versus the small countries he’s likely to be offered by the Browns and Jets, but the Vikings could comfortably fit a five-year, $120 million deal for Cousins on their cap without having to shed talent in the short term.

    3. Re-sign Anthony Barr. The Vikings can create more space in 2018 by signing Barr to an extension. The former No. 9 overall pick is entering the fifth-year option of his rookie deal, which is currently set to pay the UCLA product $12.3 million. GM Rick Spielman would likely bring that number down as part of an extension.

    Valuing Barr will be tough. The 25-year-old made his third straight Pro Bowl this season, and his range as a thumping linebacker is unquestioned. At the same time, though, front-seven pieces get paid for their ability to rush the quarterback, and while Barr very famously ruined Aaron Rodgers’ 2017 season, he’s not really a pass-rusher. Barr finished with one sack and four quarterback knockdowns this year, and his sack totals have dropped in each of his four pro seasons. Mike Zimmer doesn’t really use Barr as an edge rusher, so he might rack up better numbers on a different team, but the stats are the stats.

    The Vikings could treat Barr like Lavonte David, a non-stats All-Star who signed a five-year, $50 million extension in Tampa, but one with just $5.7 million guaranteed at signing. If they give Barr a big deal, though, that probably means moving on from Eric Kendricks after 2018. With Kendricks, Diggs, Hunter, Barr and possibly Trae Waynes all due to become free agents next offseason, Minnesota will have to make some tough choices in the near future.

    4. Sign Darren Sproles. While Sproles was expected to retire after the 2017 season, reports during Super Bowl week suggested that the 34-year-old wanted to come back and finish his career on his terms after missing most of the 2017 season with a torn ACL. The Eagles found a useful replacement for Sproles in Corey Clement, though, and it seems likely they won’t bring back the pint-sized dynamo in 2018.

    Enter the Vikings, who have a need for a receiving back behind Cook and Latavius Murray. Jerick McKinnon is a free agent and likely to receive a larger deal than the Vikings are going to offer for a strict third-down back, but Sproles would fit on a one-year deal.

    5. Add defensive tackle depth in the draft. The Vikings are suddenly thin at defensive tackle. Sharrif Floyd is likely done playing because of a nerve issue in his knee, and the Vikings will likely waive him with an injury designation this offseason. Tom Johnson is a free agent and in line for a raise, while backup Shamar Stephen is also a free agent. Linval Joseph and 2017 fourth-rounder Jaleel Johnson are in the mix, but the Vikings should be looking at defensive tackles with their selections in the first two rounds of the draft.

    NFC East

    No team was more aggressive about acquiring talent in as many different ways over the last year than the Eagles. Even after moving up in the draft to grab Carson Wentz in 2016, Howie Roseman refused to stay put and continued to reshape the roster around Wentz. The Eagles added key free agents like Alshon Jeffery and LeGarrette Blount, made trades for the likes of Jay Ajayi and Tim Jernigan, and drafted contributors like Derek Barnett and Mack Hollins. You know what happened next.

    In the end, Philadelphia’s decision to move on from backup quarterback Chase Daniel and bring back former starter Nick Foles might have ended up as its most important call. It was Foles who got hot during the postseason and saved the Eagles after Wentz tore his ACL. A move that was an afterthought amid a busy offseason ended up helping the Eagles win their first Super Bowl.

    Let’s start this series with the home of the champions in the NFC East (in alphabetical order):

    Dallas Cowboys

    1. Extend Zack Martin. Dallas’ star guard is entering the fifth and final year of his rookie deal, and the Cowboys will almost surely give the former Notre Dame star one of their patented eight-year contract extensions. Martin likely will become the highest-paid interior lineman in football when he signs his deal.

    If the 27-year-old does sign an eight-year deal, it should top $90 million and pay Martin in excess of $40 million over its first three years. The length of the deal should allow the Cowboys to reduce Martin’s cap charge from its current $9.3 million mark, even given the massive contract extension to come.

    2. Restructure Travis Frederick‘s deal. The Cowboys might not be as aggressive to clear out cap space by restructuring Tyron Smith‘s deal, given that their star left tackle battled myriad injuries this season. Frederick is one of the best centers in the league and isn’t going anywhere, so the Cowboys will be more comfortable clearing cap space with the Wisconsin product. Jerry Jones can convert $9 million or so of Frederick’s salary to a signing bonus, freeing up $7.5 million in room.

    3. Force Dez Bryant to take a pay cut or release the 29-year-old. While the Cowboys aren’t in an onerous cap situation after moving on from Tony Romo (who will still cost Dallas $8.9 million in dead money this year), there’s a huge gap between Bryant’s $16.5 million cap hit and his recent production. While you might have blamed injuries for middling seasons from Bryant in 2015 and 2016, he played all 16 games this season and wasn’t able to consistently change games. His 69-838-6 line wasn’t dissimilar to the 65-810-5 line posted by Jermaine Kearse, who was essentially a throw-in for the Jets in the Sheldon Richardson trade.

    At this point, the dynamic downfield receiver who terrified defensive backs from 2012 to ’14 looks to have been replaced by a possession target who primarily leverages his size to win on slants. From 2012 to ’14, Dez was 31st among wideouts in average yards after catch and caught 31 passes on throws more than 20 yards downfield, the sixth most in football. Bryant had just 11 such catches over the three ensuing seasons, including just four in 2017. He was 63rd in yards after catch over that time frame.

    Bryant still has a role to play on this team, but he’s years removed from performing like a No. 1 wideout. The Cowboys can’t really restructure the five-year, $70 million extension Bryant signed before the 2015 season, given that it has only two years and $25 million remaining. The Cowboys would save $8.5 million by releasing Bryant, but it makes more sense to cut his $12.5 million base salary in half and allow Bryant to make some of it back with incentives. If the three-time Pro Bowler doesn’t improve, though, this will be Dez’s last year in Arlington.

    4. Franchise DeMarcus Lawrence. The Cowboys can use the money they save from the previous deals to free up room to bring back their star defensive end. Dallas is entering the offseason with $20.6 million in cap space and will need more than $17 million to lock up their best pass rusher for another season.

    Should the Cowboys sign Lawrence to a long-term deal now? It depends on the price. Lawrence took an enormous leap in 2017, racking up 14.5 sacks and 26 quarterback knockdowns. Over 25 games in 2015 and ’16, Lawrence generated nine sacks on 18 hits. Lawrence hasn’t shown enough to get paid like a guy who is perennially going to reach double-digit sack totals, but if he hit the free market, some organization would see a 25-year-old coming off a Pro Bowl season and back up the Brink’s truck to sign him. The franchise tag keeps Lawrence off the market and gives the Cowboys leverage as they negotiate a new deal.

    5. Pick up Byron Jones‘ fifth-year option and pick a place for him to play. This season was a step backward for the former first-round pick. Jones’ versatility should be an asset, but defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli seemed to get frustrated with Jones’ lack of consistency and eventually started taking him out of the lineup for 2016 sixth-rounder Kavon Frazier, who carved out a bigger role with some big hits as an in-the-box strong safety.

    Jones was expected to be a project coming out of UConn, but Dallas hasn’t helped his development by moving him from cornerback to safety. It seems pretty clear that Jones isn’t a strong safety. He should have the athleticism to play center field as a free safety, but the Cowboys don’t appear to love Jones in that role. Assuming that the Cowboys keep Xavier Woods in the slot (and move on from Orlando Scandrick), Jones could play ahead of Jeff Heath at free safety in 2018 if the Cowboys want to give him a shot there.

    What about moving him back to cornerback and keeping him at his old position? New defensive backs coach Kris Richard had plenty of success working with big, physical cornerbacks during his time in Seattle, which should help the 6-foot-1, 196-pound Jones. Maybe Jones profiles as a guy who can play in coverage against the division’s tight ends, a group that includes Zach Ertz, Evan Engram and Jordan Reed. Under any circumstance, the Cowboys need to find out what they have in Jones in 2018.

    New York Giants

    1. Announce that this will be Eli Manning‘s last season in a Giants uniform. When the Giants shockingly benched Manning in November, I rued the missed opportunity to treat their longtime starting quarterback with some class.

    After firing virtually everyone involved with the decision short of ownership, they can get a redo here. Manning slipped badly between 2015 and 2016, although the success of the defense during a playoff year masked his decline. The Giants are probably committed to keeping Manning on the roster in 2018, but the $17 million they would save by moving on from the 38-year-old in 2019 is money they’ll need for the roster moves to come. Manning has to leave the team eventually, but send him out in a way everyone will find satisfying. Treat it like a graduation. Ask Eli how he wants to handle things. Announce an Eli Manning Day for one of the home games in September or October and bring guys from the 2007 and 2011 teams back to celebrate. Have a Not Ben McAdoo Day later in the year. Just don’t offer to string together a start streak for no reason.

    2. Draft a quarterback with the second overall pick. The Giants have to replace Manning over the next two to three years. They hired Pat Shurmur in the hope that he was going to develop their next franchise quarterback. You only get a few chances at drafting or acquiring that guy, and while the Giants would probably rather have their pick of the draft crop at No. 1, their best shot at finding that star passer is going to be here with the second overall selection in a deep class for quarterbacks.

    Whom should they take? It’s still too early to say. Honestly, whom they take is probably less important than what they do to support their new passer. Shurmur helped mold Foles in Philadelphia and manufactured a career year from Case Keenum in Minnesota, so while he struggled with game management during his time as a coach with the Browns, his recent track record looks promising. If the Giants keep Manning, there will be no reason to rush their new pick into the lineup. They can play Manning if he plays well and the Giants stay competitive. If they struggle, there will be an opportunity to bring on their new quarterback later in the year, although I’d recommend they handle it with far more grace than the organization did this season.

    3. Re-sign Odell Beckham Jr. Last year, the timing didn’t make sense for the Giants to re-sign Beckham. He was too much of a bargain for too many years to come to rip up his deal and make him the highest-paid wideout in football, let alone give him the sort of quarterback money Beckham publicly sought.

    As of last offseason, the Giants could have gone year to year with Beckham and paid him just $28.6 million over the next three years, which is Pierre Garcon money. Now that same figure would cost $48.8 million, which is in line with players like Antonio Brown and DeAndre Hopkins. Beckham’s broken ankle basically cost him all of 2017, but it shouldn’t impact the 25-year-old’s long-term outlook. He’s one of the best wideouts in the league and should be for the next several years.

    It would be smart for the Giants to get ahead of the curve and sign Beckham to a new deal before the cost of signing wideouts goes up any further. Jarvis Landry is a free agent now, but Beckham’s free-agent class next offseason would include the likes of Stefon Diggs and Mike Evans. Those guys likely aren’t going to make it to free agency, but Beckham and Evans are going to reset the wideout market. If Beckham signs first, Evans will get slightly more, and vice versa. The Giants probably want to beat the Bucs to the punch.

    What would get a deal done? Start with Hopkins, who signed a five-year, $81 million extension before starting his fifth-year option. The Texans star was coming off a down year thanks to the tyranny of Brock Osweiler, but Hopkins’ deal included $36.5 million guaranteed at the time of signing and $49 million in practical guarantees, all over the first three years.

    Beckham is going to top those both marks, but it’s a question of how much he’ll get on top of what Hopkins earned. The record for money guaranteed at signing to a wide receiver is $46.6 million, which Calvin Johnson got for his megadeal all the way back in 2012. It wouldn’t surprise me if Beckham’s representation tried to top that mark and get Beckham to $47 million guaranteed at signing with $55 million in practical guarantees. If Beckham goes for the biggest wide receiver deal in history, we would be looking at a seven-year, $115 million contract with a $40 million signing bonus, structured as follows:

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